{"id":18378,"date":"2019-06-06T00:04:46","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T16:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/?p=18378"},"modified":"2021-08-04T13:24:10","modified_gmt":"2021-08-04T05:24:10","slug":"%e6%9c%ac%e6%9c%9f%e5%b0%88%e6%ac%84-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%b0%8d%e6%96%bc%e5%ad%94%e5%ad%90%e5%ad%b8%e9%99%a2%e4%b9%8b%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%9b%9e%e6%87%89%e5%b7%ae%e7%95%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/18378\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5c08\u6b04\u3011\u5206\u6790\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u4e4b\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u61c9\u5dee\u7570"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u96d6\u7136\u50be\u76e1\u5168\u570b\u4e4b\u529b\u5411\u4e16\u754c\u63a8\u5ee3\u81ea\u8eab\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u6216\u900f\u904e\u6587\u5316\u5916\u4ea4\u4ee5\u589e\u9032\u4ea4\u6d41\u3001\u6d88\u5f2d\u8aa4\u89e3\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7368\u5275\u4e4b\u8209\uff0c\u65e9\u57281883\u5e74\u6cd5\u570b\u5373\u5275\u6709\u6cd5\u570b\u6587\u5316\u5354\u6703\uff08Alliance Francaise\uff09\u30011934\u5e74\u82f1\u570b\u5275\u8a2d\u82f1\u570b\u6587\u5316\u5354\u6703\uff08British Council\uff09\u3001\u5fb7\u570b\u5247\u67091951\u5e74\u5f8c\u6539\u5236\u7684\u6b4c\u5fb7\u5b78\u9662\uff08Goethe-Institut\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u65bc\u7d44\u7e54\u8207\u904b\u4f5c\u5169\u9762\u5411\u4e0a\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6587\u5316\u63a8\u5ee3\u6a5f\u69cb\u5177\u6709\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u5177\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u4e14\u5168\u9762\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u8207\u6f22\u8fa6\u6c7a\u7b56\u5708\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c\u9664\u4e2d\u5171\u6559\u80b2\u90e8\u5916\u5c1a\u6709\u5176\u4ed610\u500b\u653f\u5e9c\u55ae\u4f4d3<\/sup>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u66f4\u5305\u542b\u8ca0\u8cac\u653f\u6cbb\u5ba3\u50b3\u7684\u4e2d\u5ba3\u90e8\uff0c\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u8207\u5fb7\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5c0d\u5176\u6587\u5316\u6a5f\u69cb\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u5177\u5982\u6b64\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u4ea6\u7121\u63d0\u4f9b\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u767e\u7684\u8cc7\u91d14<\/sup>\uff1b\u518d\u8005\uff0c\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u5927\u591a\u76f4\u63a5\u8a2d\u7acb\u65bc\u5927\u5c08\u9662\u6821\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u9ad8\u4e2d\u5167\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e2d\u6587\u8ab2\u7a0b\u4e14\u53c3\u8207\u6821\u5167\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u63a1\u53d6\u4e3b\u52d5\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u5b78\u751f\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u64f4\u6563\u81f3\u6821\u53cb\u548c\u5bb6\u9577\uff0c\u6b64\u8209\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u6587\u5316\u63a8\u5ee3\u6a5f\u69cb\u88ab\u52d5\u5438\u5f15\u6c11\u773e\u53c3\u8207\u5176\u6d3b\u52d5\u4e4b\u71df\u904b\u6a21\u5f0f\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6211\u570b\u8a2d\u7acb\u65bc\u6d77\u5916\u7684\u6f22\u5b78\u66f8\u623f\u548c\u53f0\u7063\u66f8\u9662\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u524d\u8ff0\u5169\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u666e\u904d\u88ab\u6279\u8a55\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6d77\u5916\u653f\u6cbb\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u4e00\u74b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9762\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u5177\u6709\u6df1\u5ea6\u653f\u6cbb\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u6c11\u4e3b\u5404\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u8207\u56de\u61c9\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u5c07\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5176\u65bc\u7a7a\u9593\u8207\u6642\u9593\u4e0a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u7570\uff0c\u4ee5\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\uff08threat perception\uff09\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8ad6\u7684\u5047\u8aaa\u4e88\u4ee5\u521d\u6b65\u89e3\u91cb\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5c31\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u5206\u5e03\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c2018\u5e74\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u570b\u5df2\u9054548\u6240\uff0c\u8868\u4e00\u5217\u8209\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u6578\u91cf\u4e16\u754c\u524d\u5341\u591a\u7684\u570b\u5bb65<\/sup>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u7684105\u6240\u70ba\u6700\u591a\uff0c\u897f\u6b50\u3001\u5317\u7f8e\u548c\u65e5\u97d3\u5404\u570b\u7e3d\u8a08\u5360\u6709\u8d85\u903e\u534a\u6578\u7684\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u6578\u91cf\u3002Huang\u548cXiang\u900f\u904e\u5206\u6790\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u5f9e2004\u5e74\u81f32013\u5e74\u7684\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u8b8a\u5316\u91cf\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5404\u570b\u7e3d\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u8cbf\u6613\u5360\u5176GDP\u6bd4\u91cd\u3001\u4eba\u5747\u6240\u5f97\u3001\u8ddd\u96e2\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u806f\u5408\u570b\u5927\u6703\u6295\u7968\u504f\u597d\u5dee\u8ddd\uff08UN Voting Similarity\uff09\u7b49\u56e0\u70ba\uff0c\u70ba\u5177\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6027\u4e4b\u89e3\u91cb\u8b8a\u65786<\/sup>\u3002<\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\uff08Threat perception\uff09\u5e38\u7528\u65bc\u89e3\u91cb\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e2d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u800c\u5b78\u8005\u4e5f\u5728\u5be6\u8b49\u4e0a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u5c07\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u6539\u8b8a\u4ed6\u5011\u5c0d\u65bc\u8a72\u570b\u7684\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u76f8\u61c9\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u61c9\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea614<\/sup>\uff0c\u8a72\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u767c\u5c55\u4fbf\u662f\u8fd1\u65e5\u5e38\u898b\u65bc\u5a92\u9ad4\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u5d1b\u8d77\u6216\u5a01\u8105\u8ad6\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5c07\u5206\u5225\u5f9e(1)\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u6b77\u5e74\u7684\u56de\u61c9\u3001(2)\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u8986\u7b49\u5169\u7684\u5c64\u9762\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u5f9e\u6642\u9593\u8207\u7a7a\u9593\u5206\u6790\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u89e3\u91cb\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u4e4b\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u61c9\u5dee\u7570\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86\u5177\u6709\u8457\u986f\u8457\u7684\u8f49\u8b8a\u3002\u6839\u64da\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u554f\u537715<\/sup>\uff0c2012\u5e74\u670972%\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u8a72\u8207\u5d1b\u8d77\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u4fdd\u6301\u53cb\u597d\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u800c\u5206\u5225\u670949.6%\u548c50.4%\u7684\u6c11\u773e\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u70ba\u6575\u5c0d\u570b\u5bb6\u6216\u5925\u4f34\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373\u904e\u534a\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u4e0d\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u5a01\u8105\u7684\u6575\u5c0d\u570b\u5bb6\uff1b4\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f365.7%\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u66f4\u670973.4%\u7684\u6c11\u773e\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u7a4d\u6975\u964d\u4f4e\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u570b\u969b\u5730\u4f4d\u8207\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u82072012\u5e74\u76f8\u8f03\u4e0b\uff0c2016\u5e74\u5f8c\u591a\u6578\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u8996\u70ba\u4e0d\u53cb\u5584\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u8005\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u5c0d\u7167\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u53ef\u521d\u6b65\u900f\u904e\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u7f8e\u570b\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u65e5\u76ca\u56b4\u683c\u7684\u56de\u61c9\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7d9c\u5408\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u610f\u898b\u8207\u570b\u5bb6\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u61c9\u7684\u8de8\u5e74\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u7c97\u6dfa\u5730\u4ee5\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8a8d\u77e5\u5dee\u7570\uff0c\u89e3\u91cb\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u56de\u61c9\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u8b8a\u7570\uff0c\u53ef\u521d\u6b65\u5f97\u77e5\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u5c0d\u65bc\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u4e4b\u653f\u5e9c\u5c64\u7d1a\u56de\u61c9\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5f37\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u570b\u5167\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u5167\u80af\u5b9a\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8ad6\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u6f22\u8fa6\u7db2\u9801\u4e0a\u8fd1\u65e5\u5c07\u542b\u6709\u4e2d\u5ba3\u90e8\u3001\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u7b49\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5404\u90e8\u6703\u70ba\u5176\u6c7a\u7b56\u6a5f\u69cb\u4e4b\u5716\u6587\u79fb\u9664\uff0c\u4e26\u6539\u7a31\u7531\u300c\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u7e3d\u90e8\u7406\u4e8b\u6703\u300d\u5168\u6b0a\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff0c\u7406\u4e8b\u6703\u6709\u7406\u4e8b15\u540d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d10\u540d\u7531\u6d77\u5916\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u7684\u7406\u4e8b\u9577\u64d4\u4efb\uff0c\u4e5f\u547c\u61c9\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5047\u8aaa\uff1a\u76ee\u524d\u4e2d\u570b\u6709\u610f\u5716\u7b56\u7565\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\u897f\u65b9\u5404\u570b\u5c07\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8ad6\u76f8\u7684\u95dc\u806f\u6027\u3002\u5728\u9762\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u8ad6\u7684\u8003\u9a57\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5c07\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u5b54\u5b50\u5b78\u9662\u6216\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u5316\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u843d\u5be62019\u5e743\u6708\u6240\u516c\u544a\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u65bd\u884c\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u65bc\u662f\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u7684\u5927\u6230\u7565\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u5f85\u672a\u4f86\u5b78\u3001\u653f\u754c\u89c0\u5bdf\u8207\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

1 \u52a0\u5feb\u63a8\u9032\u6559\u80b2\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u5be6\u65bd\u65b9\u68482018\uff0d2022\u5e74))\u300d(2019\u5e742\u6708223\u65e5)\uff0c2019\u5e743\u670815\u65e5\u700f\u89bd\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7db2\uff0chttp:\/www.gov.cn\/zhengce\/2019-02\/23\/content_5367988.htm<\/p>\n

2 \u300c\u5168\u570b\u653f\u5354\u59d4\u54e1\u5b6b\u60e0\u73b2\uff1a\u975e\u6d32\u9996\u500b\u9b6f\u73ed\u5de5\u574a\u6708\u5e95\u63ed\u724c \u52a0\u5feb\u5929\u6d25\u8077\u6559\u6d77\u5916\u4f48\u5c40\u300d(2019\u5e743\u670815\u65e5)\uff0c2019\u5e743\u670815\u65e5\u700f\u89bd\uff0c\u5927\u516c\u7db2\u3002\u3000http:\/www.takungpao.com\/news\/232108\/2019\/0315\/262692.html<\/p>\n

3 Shambaugh, D. 2007. \u201cChina’s Propaganda System: Institutions, Processes and Efficacy.\u201d The China Journal 57: 25-58.<\/p>\n

4 \u8a73\u7d30\u898f\u5b9a\u8acb\u53c3\u5176\u76f8\u95dc\u7ae0\u7a0b\u65bchttps:\/www.goethe.de\/resources\/files\/pdf17\/Goethe-Institut_Basic-Agreement.pdf\u8207https:\/www.britishcouncil.org\/sites\/default\/files\/annual-report-2015-2016.pdf<\/p>\n

5 \u6578\u64da\u70ba\u7b46\u8005\u81ea\u884c\u6574\u7406\u81ea\u6f22\u8fa6\u5b98\u65b9\u7db2\u9801\uff0chttp:\/www.hanban.org\/confuciousinstitutes\/node_10961.htm\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u8207\u7fa9\u5927\u5229\u6709\u76f8\u540c\u6578\u91cf\uff0c\u6545\u4e26\u5217\u4e4b\u3002<\/p>\n

6 Huang, Wei-hao & Xiang, Jun. 2019. \u201cPursuing Soft Power through the Confucius Institute: a Large-N Analysis.\u201d Journal of Chinese Political Science. 24(2). Pp 249-266.<\/p>\n

7 \u8a72\u5716\u53d6\u81eaHuang, W., Xiang, J. & Lien, D. 2019. \u201cThe Power Transition and the US Response to China’s Expanded Soft Power\u201d International Relations of Asia Pacific. https:\/doi.org\/10.1093\/irap\/lcz008.<\/p>\n

8 Paradise, James F. 2009. \u201cChina and international harmony: The role of Confucius Institutes in bolstering Beijing’s soft power.\u201d Asian Survey 49(4):647-669<\/p>\n

9 Huang & Xiang. 2018.<\/p>\n

10 \u5168\u6587\u8a73\u898b\u7f8e\u570b\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u60c5\u5831\u7279\u9078\u59d4\u54e1\u67032018\u5e742\u670813\u865f\u516c\u807d\u6703\u7d00\u9304https:\/www.intelligence.senate.gov\/hearings\/open-hearing-worldwide-threats-0#<\/p>\n

11 \u8a73\u898bH.R.5515 – John S. McCain National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019\u65bchttps:\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/115th-congress\/house-bill\/5515\/text<\/p>\n

12 \u201cPentagon barred from funding Confucius Institutes on American campuses(August 14, 2018)\u201d\uff0c 2019\u5e743\u670815\u65e5\u700f\u89bd\uff0cThe Washington Post\uff0chttps:\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/josh-rogin\/wp\/2018\/08\/14\/pentagon-barred-from-funding-confucius-institutes-on-american-campuses\/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.27eb1b4e9b12<\/p>\n

13 S.2583 – Foreign Influence Transparency Act\u63d0\u6848\u5167\u5bb9\u8a73\u898bhttps:\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/115th-congress\/senate-bill\/2583\/cosponsors<\/p>\n

14 Jervis, Robert. 1976. Perception and misperception in international politics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press; Rousseau, David L and Rocio Garcia-Retamero. 2007. \u201cIdentity, power, and threat perception: A cross-national experimental study.\u201d Journal of Conflict Resolution 51(5):744\u2013771.<\/p>\n

15 Chicago Council Survey of American Public Opinion and U.S. Foreign Policy\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u5e74\u5206\u8207\u8a73\u7d30\u554f\u5377\u5167\u5bb9\u53ef\u67e5\u770b\u65bchttps:\/www.icpsr.umich.edu\/icpsrweb\/ICPSR\/series\/4<\/p>\n

16 Gries, P.H. and Crowson, H.M. 2010. Political Orientation, Party Affiliation, and American Attitudes Towards China. Journal<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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