{"id":15408,"date":"2018-11-22T00:00:32","date_gmt":"2018-11-21T16:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/?p=15408"},"modified":"2021-08-12T11:36:48","modified_gmt":"2021-08-12T03:36:48","slug":"%e9%9b%a8%e7%a5%9e%e7%82%ba%e4%bd%95%e5%90%8c%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%9f%e5%8d%80%e5%9f%9f%e8%b1%aa%e9%9b%a8%e5%92%8c%e6%97%b1%e7%81%bd%e7%9a%84%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%b8%e6%88%90%e5%9b%a0%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e5%b0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/15408\/","title":{"rendered":"\u96e8\u795e\u70ba\u4f55\u540c\u884c\uff1f\u5340\u57df\u8c6a\u96e8\u548c\u65f1\u707d\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u6210\u56e0\u2500\u2500\u5c08\u8a2a\u5289\u7d39\u81e3"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"aio-icon-title ult-responsive\" data-ultimate-target=\"#Info-box-wrap-7138 .aio-icon-title\" data-responsive-json-new=\"{&quot;font-size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;line-height&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\"><strong>\u9632\u6d2a\u9632\u65f1\u524d\u5148\u77e5\u9053<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>2018 \u5e74 8 \u6708\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u4f7f\u5357\u90e8\u6c34\u707d\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5c45\u6c11\u50b7\u4ea1\u4e5f\u91cd\u5275\u7576\u5730\u7522\u696d\uff1b\u540c\u5e74 9 \u6708\uff0c\u5317\u90e8\u964d\u96e8\u4f7f\u5317\u5317\u57fa\u591a\u8655\u6df9\u6c34\u3002\u6642\u7bc0\u5c07\u9032\u5165\u51ac\u5b63\u8207\u6625\u5b63\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u53c8\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u9577\u6642\u9593\u6c92\u6709\u4e0b\u96e8\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u7f3a\u6c34\u5371\u6a5f\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u9762\u5c0d\u300c\u65f1\u6f87\u4e26\u5b58\u300d\u7684\u672a\u4f86\uff1f\u672c\u6587\u5c08\u8a2a\u4e2d\u7814\u9662\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\u9662\u58eb\uff0c\u85c9\u7531\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5927\u6c23\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5e36\u6211\u5011\u4e86\u89e3\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h4><strong>\u5340\u57df\u5927\u96e8\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5927\u3001\u5c0f\u96e8\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u8da8\u52e2\u6703\u96a8\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u53b2\u5bb3\u3002<\/strong><\/h4>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u806f\u5408\u570b\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/assessment-report\/ar5\/wg1\/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IPCC \u5831\u544a<\/a>\uff0c\u5f9e 1880 \u5e74\u5230 2012 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u5730\u8868\u6eab\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\u7d04 0.85 \u5ea6\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u806f\u5408\u570b<a href=\"https:\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/assessment-report\/ar5\/wg1\/WG1AR5_TS_FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7814\u7a76\u5831\u544a<\/a>\u6216\u89c0\u6e2c\u8cc7\u6599<a href=\"https:\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2008JD010536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5206\u6790<\/a>\uff0c\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u8b8a\u5316\u300d\u5c0d\u300c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7e3d\u96e8\u91cf\u300d\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0d\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u4f46\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\u8207\u5176\u5718\u968a\u767c\u73fe\u300c\u5730\u65b9\u5340\u57df\u964d\u96e8\u300d\u537b\u6709\u6240\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\u5718\u968a\u9078\u5b9a\u5317\u7def 60 \u5ea6\u81f3\u5357\u7def 60 \u5ea6\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u91dd\u5c0d 1979 \u5e74\u81f3 2013 \u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u96e8\u91cf\u8207\u6eab\u5ea6\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u7570\u6cd5 (Interannual Difference Method, IDM) \u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5373\u4efb\u610f\u9078\u64c7\u5169\u5e74\u96e8\u91cf\u8a08\u7b97\u5dee\u503c\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u6bd4\u5c0d\u8a72\u5169\u5e74\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u5dee\u7570\u505a\u7d71\u8a08\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff1a\u5340\u57df\u964d\u96e8\u8b8a\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u5448\u73fe\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 955px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/shaw-chen-liu-01.jpg\" alt=\"\u00e7\u00be\u008e\u00e5\u009c\u008b\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e5\u008a\u00a0\u00e6\u008b\u00bf\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e6\u009d\u00b1\u00e9\u0083\u00a8\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e6\u009d\u00b1\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e5\u0092\u008c\u00e5\u008d\u0097\u00e7\u00be\u008e\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e6\u009d\u00b1\u00e9\u0083\u00a8\u00e5\u009c\u00b0\u00e5\u008d\u0080\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u0091\u0088\u00e7\u008f\u00be\u00e6\u0098\u008e\u00e9\u00a1\u00af\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e4\u00b9\u00be\u00e7\u0087\u00a5\u00e8\u00b6\u00a8\u00e5\u008b\u00a2\u00e3\u0080\u0082\u00e5\u0090\u008c\u00e6\u0099\u0082\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e6\u00be\u00b3\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e5\u008c\u0097\u00e9\u0083\u00a8\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e5\u008d\u0097\u00e9\u009d\u009e\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e5\u008d\u00b0\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e8\u00a5\u00bf\u00e9\u0083\u00a8\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5\u009c\u008b\u00e8\u00a5\u00bf\u00e9\u0083\u00a8\u00e5\u009c\u00b0\u00e5\u008d\u0080\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u0089\u0087\u00e5\u0091\u0088\u00e7\u008f\u00be\u00e6\u0098\u008e\u00e9\u00a1\u00af\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e5\u00a2\u009e\u00e5\u008a\u00a0\u00e3\u0080\u0082(\u00e7\u00b8\u00b1\u00e8\u00bb\u00b8\u00e7\u0082\u00ba\u00e7\u00b7\u00af\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00ef\u00bc\u009b\u00e8\u0089\u00b2\u00e6\u00a2\u009d\u00e7\u0082\u00ba\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e7\u00b8\u00bd\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e9\u0087\u008f\u00e8\u00b6\u00a8\u00e5\u008b\u00a2\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u0096\u00ae\u00e4\u00bd\u008d mm K\u00e2\u0088\u00921) \u00e8\u00b3\u0087\u00e6\u0096\u0099\u00e4\u00be\u0086\u00e6\u00ba\u0090\u00e2\u0094\u0082Liu, R., Liu, S.C., Shiu, CJ. et al. Adv. Atmos. Sci. (2016) 33: 164.\" width=\"945\" height=\"475\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6771\u90e8\u3001\u4e2d\u6771\u3001\u548c\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u6771\u90e8\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u5448\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u7684\u4e7e\u71e5\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5317\u90e8\u3001\u5357\u975e\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u5247\u5448\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u52a0\u3002(\u7e31\u8ef8\u70ba\u7def\u5ea6\uff1b\u8272\u689d\u70ba\u5e74\u5ea6\u7e3d\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u55ae\u4f4d mm K\u22121) \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\u2502Liu, R., Liu, S.C., Shiu, CJ. et al. Adv. Atmos. Sci. (2016) 33: 164.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p>\u300c\u9678\u5730\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u7684\u9019\u7a2e\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u662f\u7528\u50b3\u7d71\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u96e8\u91cf\u8a08\u6e2c\u91cf\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u3002\u6d77\u4e0a\u5247\u662f\u4f86\u81ea\u9059\u6e2c\u885b\u661f\u7684\u89c0\u6e2c\u3002\u5f9e\u9678\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u5340\u57df\u89c0\u6e2c\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5340\u57df\u5927\u96e8\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5927\u3001\u5c0f\u96e8\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5c0f\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\u975e\u5e38\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u300d\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\u88dc\u5145\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/team\/53.svg\" alt=\"\u554f\" width=\"45\" \/><b>\u4ec0\u9ebc\u539f\u56e0\u4f7f\u5f97\u5168\u7403\u5340\u57df\u5927\u96e8\u8d8a\u5f37\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff1f<\/b><\/h2>\n<p class=\"start-reply\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/talker\/48.svg\" alt=\"\u7b54\" width=\"45\" \/><span class=\"need-reply-icon\">\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u751f\u6210\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u662f\u7531\u65bc\u5e95\u90e8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u53c8\u6fd5\u53c8\u6696\u7684\u7a7a\u6c23\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u9762\u662f\u76f8\u5c0d\u6bd4\u8f03\u4e7e\u51b7\u7684\u7a7a\u6c23\uff1b\u90a3\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u9762\u71b1\u3001\u4e0a\u9762\u51b7\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u6703\u7522\u751f\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u8cea\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u71b1\u7684\u7a7a\u6c23\u5bc6\u5ea6\u6bd4\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u71b1\u7a7a\u6c23\u5c31\u6703\u958b\u59cb\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u71b1\u7a7a\u6c23\u542b\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u6c34\u6c23\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u4e0a\u5347\u5230\u5e7e\u516c\u91cc\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u90a3\u500b\u6c34\u6c23\u5c31\u958b\u59cb\u8b8a\u6210\u6db2\u614b\u6c34\uff1b\u518d\u4e0a\u5347\u5e7e\u516c\u91cc\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u5230\u516d\u3001\u4e03\u516c\u91cc\u4ee5\u5f8c\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u51b7\uff0c\u6db2\u614b\u6c34\u5c31\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u51b0\u3002\u5728\u6c34\u6c23\u8b8a\u6db2\u614b\u3001\u53c8\u8b8a\u6210\u56fa\u614b\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6703\u91cb\u653e\u51fa\u4f86\u6240\u8b02\u300c<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E6%BD%9B%E7%86%B1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6f5b\u71b1<\/a>\u300d\uff0c\u6703\u4f7f\u9019\u500b\u5c0d\u6d41\u66f4\u52a0\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 888px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/shaw-chen-liu-02.jpg\" alt=\"\u00e5\u0085\u00a8\u00e7\u0090\u0083\u00e6\u009a\u0096\u00e5\u008c\u0096\u00e5\u00bd\u00b1\u00e9\u009f\u00bf\u00e5\u008d\u0080\u00e5\u009f\u009f\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e5\u008e\u009f\u00e5\u009b\u00a0\u00e3\u0080\u0082 \u00e8\u00b3\u0087\u00e6\u0096\u0099\u00e4\u00be\u0086\u00e6\u00ba\u0090\u00e2\u0094\u0082Chia Chou, J. David Neelin(2004). Mechanisms of Global Warming Impacts on Regional Tropical Precipitation. Journal of Climate 17 (13), 2688-2701 \u00e5\u009c\u0096\u00e8\u00aa\u00aa\u00e9\u0087\u008d\u00e8\u00a3\u00bd\u00e2\u0094\u0082\u00e5\u008f\u00a4\u00e5\u009c\u008b\u00e5\u00bb\u00b7\u00e3\u0080\u0081\u00e5\u00bc\u00b5\u00e8\u00aa\u009e\u00e8\u00be\u00b0\" width=\"878\" height=\"780\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u5f71\u97ff\u5340\u57df\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002 \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\u2502Chia Chou, J. David Neelin(2004). Mechanisms of Global Warming Impacts on Regional Tropical Precipitation. Journal of Climate 17 (13), 2688-2701 \u5716\u8aaa\u91cd\u88fd\u2502\u53e4\u570b\u5ef7\u3001\u5f35\u8a9e\u8fb0<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6eab\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7a7a\u6c23\u88e1\u9762\u7684\u98fd\u548c\u6c34\u84b8\u6c23\u4e5f\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6bcf\u589e\u52a0<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E7%83%AD%E5%8A%9B%E5%AD%A6%E6%B8%A9%E6%A0%87\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7d55\u5c0d\u6eab\u5ea6<\/a>\u00a01 \u5ea6 K\uff0c\u7a7a\u6c23\u4e2d\u7684\u98fd\u548c\u6c34\u84b8\u6c23\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a 7 %\uff1b\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u6bcf\u589e\u52a0 1 \u5ea6 K\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5c0d\u6d41\u91cb\u653e\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u6f5b\u71b1\u5c31\u6703\u591a\u51fa 7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6f5b\u71b1\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 7%\uff0c\u6c23\u6d41\u6bcf\u9019\u6a23\u4e0a\u4e0b\u7ffb\u52d5\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c0d\u6d41\u7684\u5f37\u5ea6\u4e5f\u6703\u589e\u52a0 7% \uff0c\u5438\u9032\u4f86\u7684\u6c34\u6c23\u91cf\u4e5f\u8ddf\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u672c\u4f86\u5438\u9032\u4f86\u7684\u534a\u5f91\u597d\u6bd4\u8aaa\u662f\u5468\u570d 10 \u516c\u91cc\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5c0d\u6d41\u4e00\u52a0\u5f37\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u5438\u9032\u6c34\u6c23\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u5c31\u66f4\u5f37\u4e86\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ee5 20 \u516c\u91cc\u7684\u534a\u5f91\u7bc4\u570d\u5438\u9032\u5927\u6c23\u4e2d\u7684\u6c34\u6c23\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5faa\u74b0\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5b83\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5411\u7684\u56de\u994b\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9019\u500b\u5340\u57df\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u5e45\u5c31\u8d85\u904e 7%\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h4><strong>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7576\u5c0d\u6d41\u7684\u6c34\u6c23\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u91cb\u653e\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u6f5b\u71b1\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u90a3\u500b\u5340\u57df\u7684\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u5c31\u6703\u8d8a\u5f37\u3002<\/strong><\/h4>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p>\u81f3\u65bc\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u70ba\u4f55\u6703\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6c23\u6eab\u589e\u52a0 1 \u5ea6 K\uff0c\u5927\u6c23\u88e1\u9762\u7684\u98fd\u548c\u6c34\u84b8\u6c23\u53ea\u589e\u52a0 7%\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u500b\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u62ff\u8d70\u90a3\u9ebc\u591a\u6c34\u6c23\uff0c\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u5206\u914d\u5230\u7684\u6c34\u6c23\u5c31\u5c11\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u9019\u4e9b\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u624d\u6703\u770b\u5230\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5340\u57df\u7684\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u800c\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u666e\u904d\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002\u82e5\u4ee5\u7e3d\u96e8\u91cf\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u5730\u5340(\u4f8b\u5982\u5927\u6d0b\u6d32\u9644\u8fd1)\uff0c\u96e8\u91cf\u6703\u589e\u52a0\uff1b\u539f\u4f86\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u6bd4\u8f03\u591a\u7684\u5730\u65b9(\u4f8b\u5982\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u897f\u90e8\u7684\u5927\u9762\u7a4d\u6d77\u6d0b)\uff0c\u96e8\u91cf\u5c31\u6703\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/team\/53.svg\" alt=\"\u554f\" width=\"45\" \/><b>\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\uff1f\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u6709\u4f55\u885d\u64ca\uff1f<\/b><\/h2>\n<p class=\"start-reply\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/talker\/48.svg\" alt=\"\u7b54\" width=\"45\" \/><span class=\"need-reply-icon\">\u81fa\u7063\u5340\u57df\u964d\u96e8\u540c\u6a23\u6709\u5927\u96e8\u8d8a\u5f37\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u8d8a\u5c0f\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u6211\u5011\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u8490\u96c6 1961 \u5e74\u81f3 2005 \u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40 15 \u500b\u5730\u9762\u89c0\u6e2c\u7ad9\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5c07\u9019 45 \u5e74\u4f86\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u4f9d\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u5206\u6210\u5341\u500b\u7b49\u7d1a\uff0c\u518d\u5206\u6790\u5404\u5e74\u5ea6\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u4e4b\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u96a8\u6eab\u5ea6\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\u8868\u6240\u793a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 909px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/shaw-chen-liu-03.jpg\" alt=\"\u00e5\u0085\u00a8\u00e7\u0090\u0083\u00e6\u00ba\u00ab\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e6\u00af\u008f\u00e5\u00a2\u009e\u00e5\u008a\u00a0 1 \u00e5\u00ba\u00a6 K \u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e8\u0087\u00ba\u00e7\u0081\u00a3\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e5\u00bc\u00b7\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e5\u0089\u008d 10% \u00e5\u00bc\u00b7\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e9\u0087\u008f\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e7\u00b4\u0084\u00e5\u00a2\u009e\u00e5\u008a\u00a0 140%\u00ef\u00bc\u009b\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e5\u00bc\u00b7\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e5\u00be\u008c 10% \u00e5\u00b0\u008f\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e9\u0099\u008d\u00e9\u009b\u00a8\u00e9\u0087\u008f\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e7\u00b4\u0084\u00e6\u00b8\u009b\u00e5\u00b0\u0091 70%\u00e3\u0080\u0082 \u00e8\u00b3\u0087\u00e6\u0096\u0099\u00e4\u00be\u0086\u00e6\u00ba\u0090\u00e2\u0094\u0082\u00e5\u008a\u0089\u00e7\u00b4\u00b9\u00e8\u0087\u00a3\u00e6\u008f\u0090\u00e4\u00be\u009b(\u00e5\u008f\u0096\u00e8\u0087\u00aa Liu et al., 2009 \u00e6\u009c\u00aa\u00e7\u0099\u00bc\u00e8\u00a1\u00a8\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e8\u00b3\u0087\u00e6\u0096\u0099)\" width=\"899\" height=\"719\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u6bcf\u589e\u52a0 1 \u5ea6 K \uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u524d 10% \u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u589e\u52a0 140%\uff1b\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u5f8c 10% \u5c0f\u96e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u6e1b\u5c11 70%\u3002 \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\u2502\u5289\u7d39\u81e3\u63d0\u4f9b(\u53d6\u81ea Liu et al., 2009 \u672a\u767c\u8868\u7684\u8cc7\u6599)<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u7684\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\uff1a\u81fa\u7063\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u96a8\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u800c\u589e\u5f37\uff0c\u7576\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u6bcf\u589e\u52a0 1 \u5ea6 K \uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u524d 10% \u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u589e\u52a0 140%\uff1b\u76f8\u5c0d\u7684\uff0c\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u96a8\u6eab\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u800c\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u5f8c 10% \u5c0f\u96e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\uff0c\u96a8\u4e4b\u6e1b\u5c11\u5927\u7d04 70% \u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u4e5f\u767c\u73fe\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u7684\u65e5\u6578\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u4e0d\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u65e5\u6578\u6b63\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u5728\u51ac\u5929\u548c\u6625\u5929\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u662f\u81fa\u7063\u4e7e\u65f1\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u5b63\u7bc0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u7814\u7a76 1961 \u5e74\u81f3 2011 \u5e74\u4fb5\u8972\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u770b\u5230\u985e\u4f3c\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\uff1a\u96a8\u8457\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4fb5\u8972\u81fa\u7063\u98b1\u98a8\u7684\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u98b1\u98a8\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u90a3\u98b1\u98a8\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\u9084\u6709\u571f\u77f3\u6d41\u4e5f\u5c31\u96a8\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u4e2d\u5c0f\u96e8\u6e1b\u5c11\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u4e7e\u65f1\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u53c8\u6bd4\u6d2a\u6c34\u4f86\u5f97\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u8fb2\u696d\u9700\u8981\u6c34\uff0c\u5de5\u696d\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u7528\u6c34\u3002\u9762\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u707d\u5bb3\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u5fc5\u9808\u63a1\u53d6\u8abf\u9069\u63aa\u65bd\u56e0\u61c9\uff0c\u554f\u984c\u5728\u65bc\u2500\u2500\u6211\u5011\u7684<a href=\"https:\/www.ndc.gov.tw\/cp.aspx?n=FCB2E59927B8AFFD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8abf\u9069\u653f\u7b56<\/a>\u662f\u6839\u64da\u300c<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E6%B0%94%E5%80%99%E6%A8%A1%E5%BC%8F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f<\/a>\u300d\u5236\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/team\/53.svg\" alt=\"\u554f\" width=\"45\" \/><b>\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u8abf\u9069\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u554f\u984c\uff1f<\/b><\/h2>\n<p class=\"start-reply\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/talker\/48.svg\" alt=\"\u7b54\" width=\"45\" \/><span class=\"need-reply-icon\"><a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E6%B0%94%E5%80%99%E6%A8%A1%E5%BC%8F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f<\/a>\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u5b83\u7684\u4e0d\u5b9a\u6027\u5f88\u5927\u3002\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u76ee\u524d\u771f\u6b63\u6709\u7528\u7684\u3001\u5927\u5bb6\u6bd4\u8f03\u80fd\u5920\u8a8d\u53ef\u5b83\u7684\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8ddf\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u300c\u6eab\u5ea6\u300d\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u9023\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/www.ipcc.ch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IPCC<\/a>\u00a0\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u300c\u964d\u96e8\u300d\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5340\u57df\u6027\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u8b8a\u5316\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u5f88\u4f4e\u3002\u4f46\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u570b\u7d55\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u6839\u64da\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u53bb\u505a\u8abf\u9069\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u81fa\u7063\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f8b\u5916\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5148\u5f9e<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E6%B0%94%E8%B1%A1%E5%AD%A6#%E6%95%B8%E5%80%BC%E6%A8%A1%E5%BC%8F%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u6e2c\u6a21\u578b<\/a>\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u3002\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u6e2c\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u6839\u64da\u6d41\u9ad4\u529b\u5b78\u7b49\u5404\u5f71\u97ff\u689d\u4ef6\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u5929\u6c23\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u628a\u6240\u6709\u689d\u4ef6\u90fd\u8003\u616e\u9032\u53bb\uff0c\u90a3\u9810\u6e2c\u6703\u975e\u5e38\u6e96\u78ba\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6709\u689d\u4ef6\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u9032\u53bb\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u6642\u9593\u4e00\u62c9\u9577\u5c31\u6703\u5931\u53bb\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\uff0c\u96a8\u9810\u6e2c\u6642\u9593\u8d8a\u9577\u3001\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\u8d8a\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u6e2c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5e7e\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u6b50\u76df\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7b49\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u6e96\u78ba\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u9810\u6e2c\u5927\u7d04\u53ef\u4ee5\u5230\u5341\u5929\uff0c\u5f88\u5c11\u6703\u8d85\u904e\u4e8c\u5341\u5929\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u5f71\u97ff\u56e0\u5b50\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u91cf\u9032\u53bb\uff1b\u9577\u6642\u9593\u3001\u5927\u7a7a\u9593\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u97ff\u56e0\u5b50\u5c31\u66f4\u52a0\u8907\u96dc\u3002\u6c23\u8c61\u53ef\u9810\u5831\u6027\u4e0d\u6703\u8d85\u904e 20 \u5929\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u8981\u9810\u6e2c\u662f 20 \u5e74\u3001100 \u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5c07\u9810\u6e2c\u5168\u7403\u6027\u3001\u9577\u6642\u9593\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u53bb\u7d30\u7dfb\u5730\u770b\u5340\u57df\u6027\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u6027\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u82e5\u5c07\u5176\u5957\u7528\u5728\u81fa\u7063\u5404\u7e23\u5e02\u964d\u96e8\u9810\u6e2c\u66f4\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h4><strong>\u5982\u679c\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u9810\u6e2c\u9577\u6642\u9593\u3001\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6\u964d\u96e8\u662f\u932f\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u6839\u64da\u9019\u500b\u6a21\u5f0f\u66f4\u7cbe\u7d30\u5730\u9810\u6e2c\u5340\u57df\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u6027\u964d\u96e8\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u628a\u932f\u7684\u6771\u897f\u5206\u6790\u5f97\u66f4\u4ed4\u7d30\u4e00\u9ede\u3002<\/strong><\/h4>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/team\/53.svg\" alt=\"\u554f\" width=\"45\" \/><b>\u8fd1\u671f\u5c0d\u65bc\u5340\u57df\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u9810\u6e2c\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\u9032\u5c55\uff1f\u82e5\u61c9\u7528\u5728\u81fa\u7063\u6709\u4f55\u5e6b\u52a9\uff1f<\/b><\/h2>\n<p class=\"start-reply\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/talker\/48.svg\" alt=\"\u7b54\" width=\"45\" \/><span class=\"need-reply-icon\">\u904e\u53bb\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\u5340\u57df\u5927\u96e8\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u5c0f\u96e8\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u5927\u96e8\u96e8\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5927\u5230\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u5e74\u7684\u96e8\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u524d 30% \u7684\u5927\u96e8\u5176\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u90a3\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u7e3d\u96e8\u91cf\u5c31\u6703\u589e\u52a0\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\u6e1b\u5c11\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u90a3\u4e00\u5e74\u7e3d\u96e8\u91cf\u5c31\u6703\u6e1b\u5c11\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u9019\u500b\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5718\u968a\u548c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b78\u3001<a href=\"https:\/ecins.jnu.edu.cn\/teacher_show.php?id=7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u66a8\u5357\u5927\u5b78<\/a>\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u6cd5\u627e\u51fa\u5f71\u97ff\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u597d\u6bd4\u8aaa\u8056\u5b30\u73fe\u8c61\u2500\u5357\u65b9\u9707\u76ea (<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E5%8E%84%E5%B0%94%E5%B0%BC%E8%AF%BA-%E5%8D%97%E6%96%B9%E6%8C%AF%E8%8D%A1%E7%8E%B0%E8%B1%A1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ENSO<\/a>)\u3001\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5e74\u4ee3\u969b\u9707\u76ea (<a href=\"https:\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E5%A4%AA%E5%B9%B3%E6%B4%8B%E5%8D%81%E5%B9%B4%E6%B6%9B%E5%8A%A8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">PDO<\/a>)\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ea6\u7b49\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u5f71\u97ff\u56e0\u7d20\u5f88\u591a\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\uff0c\u50cf\u662f ENSO \u73fe\u5728\u9810\u6e2c 1 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class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p>\u6211\u89ba\u5f97\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u50c5\u9700\u8981\u6295\u5165\u6551\u707d\uff0c\u4e8b\u524d\u7684\u9632\u707d\u66f4\u662f\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u9632\u6d2a\u3001\u9632\u571f\u77f3\u6d41\u548c\u9632\u65f1\u7b49\u5404\u7a2e\u9810\u9632\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u5982\u679c\u628a\u9019\u500b\u5340\u57df\u964d\u96e8\u9810\u6e2c\u65b9\u6cd5\u61c9\u7528\u5728\u81fa\u7063\uff0c\u63d0\u65e9\u77e5\u9053\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\u6216\u4e0b\u500b\u5b63\u7bc0\u6703\u6709\u5f37\u964d\u96e8\u6216\u4e7e\u65f1\uff0c\u5c0d\u81fa\u7063\u653f\u5e9c\u898f\u5283\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u8abf\u9069\u7b56\u7565\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/img\/team\/53.svg\" alt=\"\u554f\" width=\"45\" 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\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6bcf\u6b21\u6211\u90fd\u6703\u8aaa\uff0c\u597d\u50cf\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u6771\u897f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 802px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/research.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/shaw-chen-liu-04.jpg\" alt=\"\u00e3\u0080\u008c\u00e6\u00af\u008f\u00e6\u00ac\u00a1\u00e5\u0088\u0086\u00e6\u009e\u0090 data \u00e7\u009c\u008b\u00e5\u0088\u00b0\u00e6\u0096\u00b0\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e6\u009d\u00b1\u00e8\u00a5\u00bf\u00ef\u00bc\u008c\u00e5\u0085\u00b6\u00e5\u00af\u00a6\u00e6\u0098\u00af\u00e6\u0088\u0091\u00e5\u00b7\u00a5\u00e4\u00bd\u009c\u00e6\u009c\u0080\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e7\u009a\u0084\u00e5\u008b\u0095\u00e5\u008a\u009b\u00e3\u0080\u0082\u00e3\u0080\u008d\u00e5\u008a\u0089\u00e7\u00b4\u00b9\u00e8\u0087\u00a3\u00e7\u00ac\u0091\u00e8\u0091\u0097\u00e8\u00aa\u00aa\u00e3\u0080\u0082 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15409,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15408"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15408"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15408\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24453,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15408\/revisions\/24453"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15409"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/newsletter.sinica.edu.tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}