◆◇學術研討會◇◆ 健康經濟國際學術研討會 Taipei International Conference on Health Economics March 25-27, 1999 The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica (IEAS) Taipei, Taiwan, ROC 時  間:三月二十五日(星期四)至三月二十七日(星期六) 地  點:本院學術活動中心 主辦單位:本院經濟研究所 聯絡人:謝啟瑞研究員,電話:2782-2791轉207;傳真:2785 -3946;E-mail:Chsieh@ieas.econ.sinica.edu.tw 歡迎院內同仁踴躍參加,請於三月十九日前報名,俾便統計出 席人數。 Thursday March 25, 1999  ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ 8:30~09:00 Registration   (Conference Room 1) 9:00~10:30 Opening Session Presiding:SHENG-CHENG HU, Director of IEAS Opening Remark MEI-SHU LAI, CEO & President, Bureau of National Health Insurance Keynote Address:The Economics of Substance Use and Abuse MICHAEL GROSSMAN , City University of New York Graduate School and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Keynote Address:Health Care Reforms in Taiwan and the US: What Can We Learn from Each Other? TEH-WEI HU, University of California at Berkeley 10:50~12:20 Plenary Session I:Medical Treament and Patient Outcome        (Conference Room 1) Presiding:HONG-JEN CHANG, Bureau of National Health Insurance Papers:GABRIEL PICONE, University of South Florida, FRANK A. SLOAN, DONALD TAYLOR, and SHIN-YI CHOU, Duke University   Is Medical Care Productive? Evidence from Medicare   MARK MCCLELLAN, Stanford University, and DOUGLAS STAIGER,Dartmouth College   Estimating Treatment Effects with Observational Data: A New Approach to Using Hospital-Level Variation in Treatment JOAN C. LO, IEAS The Impact of Hospices on the Health Care Expenditures: The Case of Taiwan Discussants:CHUNG-FU LAN, National Yang-Ming University     JUI-FEN RACHEL LU, Chang-Gung University     WINNIE C. YIP, Harvard University 13:30~15:30 Concurrent Session A1:Economic Analysis of Addiction Behavior (Conference Room 3) Presiding:TSU-TAN FU, IEAS Papers:PAUL CONTOYANIS and ANDREW JONES, University of York   Rational Addiction and Adjustment Costs   KAMHON KAN, IEAS, and WEI-DER TSAI, National Central University   Rational Cessation and Re-Initiation of Cigarette Smoking: Evidence from Taiwan   DAVID BISHAI, John Hopkins University   Lifecycle Changes in the Rate of Time Preference: Testing the Theory of Endogenous Preferences and its Relevance to Adolescent Substance Use   FRANK J. CHALOUPKA, University of Illinois at Chicago and NBER,MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York Graduate School and NBER, RIMA NAIR, University of Illinois at Chicago, and HENRY SAFFER, NBER   Gender and Race Differences in Youth Alcohol Demand Discussants:TADASHI YAMADA, University of Tsukuba   JOHN A. TAURAS, University of Michigan   SHOU-HSIA CHENG, National Taiwan University   LIKWANG CHEN, Cornell University Concurrent Session B1:Distribution and Equity of Health Care (Conference Room 2 ) Presiding:C. Y. CYRUS CHU, National Taiwan University and IEAS Papers:PAUL GERTLER, University of California at Berkeley, and ORVILLE SOLON, University of the Philippines   Who Benefits from Social Health Insurance in Low-Income Countries?   GORDON G. LIU, University of Southern California, RENHUA CAI, PRC Ministry of Health, and ZHONGYUN ZHAO, Merck-Medco Managed Care   Distribution Effects on Health Care Utilization:Evidence from the Health Care Reform Experiment in P. R. China   JUI-FEN RACHEL LU, Chang Gung University   Equity Concern on the NHI Catastrophic Illness Policy In Taiwan   PETER W.H. CHENG, National Chung Chen University, and JAIN-RONG SU, National Chung-Hsing University   The Incidence of Expenditures and Revenues in Taiwan's National Health Insurance Discussants:ALBERT PARK, University of Michigan and IEAS JOAN C. LO, IEAS DOUGLAS STAIGER, Dartmouth College DOV. CHERNICHOVSKY, Ben Gurion University of the Negev and NBER Concurrent Session C1:Health Risk and Health Investment (Conference Room 4) Presiding:JIN-TAN LIU, National Taiwan University and IEAS Papers:JAMES K. HAMMITT, Harvard School of Public Health, JIN-TAN LIU, and WEN-CHING LIN, National Taiwan University   The Estimates of Willingness to Pay for Health Risk Reduction:Application of Contingent Valuation Method   CHRISTOPHER J. RUHM, University of North Carolina at Greensboro and NBER   Economic Conditions and Health : Evidence from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System   WEN S. CHERN, Ohio State University  Demand for Food and Demand for Health: Some Methodological Issue  MICHAEL T. FRENCH, Alphonse G. Holtmann, KERRY ANNE MCGEARY, University of Miami, and GARY A. ZARKIN, Research Triangle Institute   Substance Use and Workplace Attendance Discussants:PEI-ING WU, National Taiwan University      HUI-CHU LANG, National Yang-Ming University        CHING-CHENG CHANG, IEAS      HWEI-LIN CHUANG, National Tsing Hua University 15:50~17:50 Concurrent Session A2:Smoking Behavior (Conference Room 3) Presiding:WENG-FOUNG HUANG, National Yang- Ming University Papers:V. KERRY SMITH, DONALD H. TAYLOR, JR., FRANK A. SLOAN, Duke University, R. REED JOHNSON, AND WILLIAM H. DESVOUSGES, Triangle Economic Research Do Smokers Respond to Health Information? JOHN RIZZO, Yale University School of Medicine The Labor Productivity Costs of Smoking in the United States JOHN A. TAURAS, University of Michigan  Does Price Affect Smoking Cessation by Men and Women Differently?  Evidence from Longitudinal Analysis   LIKWANG CHEN, Cornell University  The Effect of the Presence of Children on Men's Smoking Discussants:KAMHON KAN, IEAS  MING-CHIN YANG, National Taiwan University  CHEE-RUEY HSIEH, IEAS  HENRY SAFFER, National Bureau of Economic Research Concurrent Session B2:The Impact of National Health Insurance (Conference Room 2) Presiding:CHING-CHUAN YEH, Bureau of Health, Taipei City Government Papers:BONG-MIN YANG, Seoul National University  Health Insurance and Health Sector Reform: Case of Korea  TING-AN CHEN, STEVE WAI-CHO TSUI, and LI- FANG CHOU, National Chengchi University The Effects of Cost-Sharing in Taiwan's National Health Insurance System: Some Empirical Results YI-WEN TSAI, Kaiser Foundation  The Impact of National Health Insurance on Physician and Patient Behavior in Taiwan: The Selection of Primary Cesarean Section  HERNG-CHIA CHIU and LIH-WEN MAU, Kaoshioung Medical College  Inappropriate Utilization of Hospital Services and Its Expenditures under the National Health Insurance Discussants:YUE-CHUNE LEE, National Yang- Ming University   PAUL GERTLER, University of California at Berkeley  TETSUJI YAMADA, Rutgers University  TADASHI YAMADA, University of Tuskuba Concurrent Session C2:Demand for and Supply of Health Insurance (Conference Room 4) Presiding:CHIH-LIANG YAUNG, ROC Department of Health Papers:ARTHUR HAU, Tamkang University  Optimal Medical Insurance Coverage in Incomplete Markets  CHU-SHIU LI, Feng Chia University  The Choice of Long-Term Health Insurance Contracts  HSIU-CHEN F. TSUI, Center for Naval Analysis  Pricing Behavior and the Level of Competition in the U.S. Health Insurance Industry  YU-WHUEI HU, National Taiwan University  The Demand for Long-Term Care Insurance: An Willingness to Pay Approach Discussants:JOHN RIZZO, Yale University School of Medicine       SHYH-FANG UENG, IEAS      LARRY YU-REN TZENG, National Taiwan University  EDWARD C. NORTON, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Friday March 26, 1999 9:00~10:30 Plenary Session II:Economic Analysis of Health and Health Care Markets (Conference Room 1) Presiding:FRANK A. SLOAN, Duke University Papers:MARTIN GAYNOR, Carnegie Mellon University and NBER, DEBORAH HAAS-WILSON, Smith College, WILLIAM B. VOGT, Carnegie Mellon University and NBER  Are Invisible Hands Good Hands? Moral Hazard, Competition, and the 2nd Best in Health Care Markets  DON KENKEL, Cornell University, and PING WANG, Vanderbilt University  Rational Addiction, Occupational Choice and Human Capital Accumulation  SHENG-CHENG HU, IEAS  Health and Economic Growth Discussants:PAUL GERTLER, University of California at Berkeley      MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York Graduate School and NBER     CHING-SHENG MAO, National Taiwan University 10:50~12:20 Plenary Session III:Economic Aspects of Substance Uses and Abuses (Conference Room 1) Presiding:TEH-WEI HU, University of California at Berkeley Papers:MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York Graduate School and NBER, and SARA MARKOWITZ, New Jersey Institute of Technology and NBER   Alcohol Regulation and Violence on College Campuses   HENRY SAFFER, National Bureau of Economic Research Substance Abuse Control and Crime: Evidence from the National Household Survey of Drug Abuse  TSU-TAN FU, KANHOM KAN, IEAS, and JIN-TAN LIU, National Taiwan University and IEAS Health Risk Perception and Betelnut Consumption in Taiwan Discussants:ANDREW JONES, University of York     CHING-FAN CHUNG, National Taiwan University      JAMES K. HAMMITT, Harvard School of Public Health 13:20~15:20 Concurrent Session A3: Drug Use and Betelnut Consumption (Conference Room 3) Presiding:MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York Graduate School and NBER Papers:EDWARD C. NORTON, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, RICHARD C. LINDROOTH, Northwestern University, and SUSAN T. ENNETT, Unversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill How Measures of Perception from Survey Data Lead to Inconsistent Regression Results: Evidence from Adolescent and Peer Substance Use  MATTHEW C. FARRELLY, JEREMY W. BRAY, AND GARY A. ZARKIN, Research Triangler Institute The Effects of Price and Policies on the Demand for Marijunana: Evidence from the National Household Surveys on Drug Abuse TSUNG-HSUEH LU, Chung Shan Medical & Dental College, and CRAIG R. JANES, University of Colorado at Denver Political Economy of Betel Epidemic in Taiwan Discussants:RUTH YU, Tamkang University      YUPING WEN, Chang Gung University      ROBERT KAESTNER, Baruch College and NBER      SHIN-YI CHOU, Duke University Concurrent Session B3:Insurance and Hospital Behavior (Conference Room 2) Presiding:YUEH-GUEY LAURA HUANG, Chang-Gung University Papers:TETSUJI YAMADA, Rutgers University, and TADASHI YAMADA, University of Tsukuba Transition from Fee-For-Service to Prospective Payment System: Hospital Services under National Health Insurance System YA-SENG HSUEH, National Taiwan University, and CHAO-HSIUN TANG, Taipei Medical College Impacts of the National Health Insurance on the Cost Structure of Hospitals in Taiwan YA-CHEN TINA SHIH, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Cost Shifting or Sample Selection: The Case Study of Workers' Compensation Back Pain Patients YUANLI LIU, Harvard School of Public Health A Model of Prepaid Preventive Care and Evidence from China Discussants:BONG-MING YANG, Seoul National University     GORDON G. LIU, University of Southern California      CHRISTOPHER J. RUHM, University of North Carolina at Greensboro and NBER     MICHAEL S. CHEN, National Chung Chen University Concurrent Session C3:Demand for Medical Care and Payment System (Conference Room 4) Presiding:JOAN C. LO, IEAS Papers:XINGZHU LIU, Shandong Medical University, and ANNE MILLS, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Supplier-Induced Demand: Is that Measurable? WINNIE YIP, Harvard School of Public Health and KAREN EGGLESTON, Harvard Kennedy School of Government Provider Payment Reform in China: The Case of Hospital Reimbursement in Hainan Province MEI HSU, National Chung-Hsing University Analysis on the Changes in the Determinants of Demand for Medical Care in Taiwan ZIN-FEI LIN, Chung-Hsing University, and JOAN C. LO, IEAS The Impact of the Global Budget on Two Health Care Organizations: For-Profit vs. Non-profit Discussants:YIING-JENG CHOU, National Yang- Ming University       TEH-WEI HU, University of California at Berkeley        SARA MARKOWITZ, New Jersey Institute of Technology and NBER        MARTIN GAYNOR, Carnegie Mellon University 15:40~17:10 Concurrent Session A4:Alcohol Consumption and Violence (Conference Room 3) Presiding:PING WANG, Vanderbilt University Papers:SARA MARKOWITZ, New Jersey Institute of Technology and NBER,MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York Graduate School and NBER Criminal Violence and Alcohol Beverage Control: Evidence from an International Study ROBERT KAESTNER, and THEODORE JOYCE, Baruch College and NBER Alcohol and Drug Use: Risk Factors for Unintended Pregnancy MINGHAO HER, NORMAN GIESBRECHT, Center for Addiction and Mental Health, ROBIN ROOM, National Institute for Alcohol and Drug Research, and JURGEN REHO, University of Toronto Impacts of Deregulating Alcohol Sales in Ontario, Canada: Four Scenarios Based on Projected Changes in Physical and Economic Access to Alcohol CHEE-RUEY HSIEH, MAU-SHAN SHI,IEAS, and CHIEN -FU JEFF LIN, National Taiwan University The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Alcohol Consumption in Taiwan Discussants:YA-CHEN TINA SHIH, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill     FUNG-MEY HUANG, IEAS        DAVID BISHAI, John Hopkins University        MATTHEW C. FARRELY, Research Triangle Institute Concurrent Session B4:Public versus Private Health Insurance (Conference Room 2) Presiding:ANDREW T. HUANG, Koo Foundation Sun -Yat Sen Cancer Center Papers:DOV CHERNICHOVSKY, Ben Gurion University of the Negev and NBER Supplementary Insurance and Extra Billing- Risks and Opportunities in Health Systems Under the Emerging Paradigm: The Case of Israel SHOU-HSIA CHENG, National Taiwan University Demand for Private Health Insurance and Its Effect on Health Care Utilization in Taiwan CHUNHUEI CHI, Oregon State University Reexamining the Debates on Public Versus Private Health Insurance Systems: Alternative Frameworks Discussants:YA-SENG HSUEH, National Taiwan University     KERRY ANNE MCGEARY, University of Miami     XINGZHU LIU, Shandong Medical University Concurrent Session C4:Efficiency Aspect of Health System (Conference Room 4) Presiding:WEN S. CHERN, Ohio State University Papers:SHIOW-YING WEN and YUPING WEN, Chang Gung Univeristy Hospital Response to Case Payment YUAN-HWEY WANG, and LI-FANG CHOU, National Chengchi University The Efficiency of Nursing Homes in Taiwan: An Empirical Study Using Data Envelopment Analysis CHEE JEN CHANG, JING FANG, and PETER ARNO, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Infant Mortality and Income Inequality in New York City Discussants:YUANLI LIU, Harvard School of Public Health        HUI-HSUAN IRENE WANG, Chang Gung University        WEN-SHAN YANG, Sun Yat-Sen Institute for Social Science and Philosophy, Academia Sinica Saturday March 27, 1999  ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ 8:00~17:00 One Day Taipei City Tour National Palace Museum Grand Hotel Yangminshan National Park